Electronic Theses and Dissertation

ABSTRAK

Judul : Hubungan Harga Internasional dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Nilai Ekspor Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia ke Uni Eropa

Nama : Muhammad Arief Miswari

NIM : 1601101010048

Jurusan/Fakultas : Ekonomi Pembangunan/Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Dosen Pembimbing : Dr. Chenny Seftarita S.E., M.Si

Konsentrasi : Ekonomi Internasional



Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk melihat hubungan antara harga internasional dan nilai tukar terhadap nilai ekspor Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia ke Uni Eropa. Metode pada penelitian menggunakan model Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) dengan jenis data sekunder berbentuk runtun waktu (time series) dari tahun 2000-2019. Hasil dari penelitian menunjukkan bahwa baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang, harga internasional dan nilai tukar secara bersama-sama memiliki hubungan yang signifikan secara statistik terhadap nilai ekspor Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia ke Uni Eropa. Diharapkan pemerintah melalui lembaga terkait dapat mengevaluasi dan memperhatikan sektor-sektor lain yang berpotensi mendongkrak kinerja ekspor CPO Indonesia, serta ikut berkontribusi dalam mengawasi pergerakan harga CPO internasional yang berhubungan dengan fluktuasi nilai tukar rupiah terhadap Dolar AS.


Kata Kunci : Harga Intenasional, Nilai Tukar, Nilai Ekspor, ARDL




















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ABSTRACT

Title : Relationship of International Prices and Exchange Rates Against the Export Value of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) of Indonesia to the European Union

Name : Muhammad Arief Miswari

Student ID : 1601101010048

Department/Faculty : Economic Development/Economics and Business

Academic Advisor : Dr. Chenny Seftarita S.E., M.Si

Consentration : International Economy



The purpose of this study is to look at the relationship between international prices and the exchange rate against the export value of Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (CPO) to the European Union. The research method uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model with secondary data types in the form of time series from 2000-2019. The results of the study show that both in the short and long term, international prices and exchange rates together have a statistically significant relationship to the value of Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (CPO) exports to the European Union. It is expected that the government through related institutions can evaluate and pay attention to other sectors that have the potential to boost the performance of Indonesia's CPO exports, as well as contribute to overseeing international CPO price movements associated with fluctuations in the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US Dollar.


Keywords: International Price, Exchange Rate, Export Value, ARDL

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