MUHAMMAD ARIEF MISWARI Primary Author mixed material bibliography Banda Aceh Universitas Syiah Kuala 2020 id Indonesia

Null

ABSTRAK Judul : Hubungan Harga Internasional dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Nilai Ekspor Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia ke Uni Eropa Nama : Muhammad Arief Miswari NIM : 1601101010048 Jurusan/Fakultas : Ekonomi Pembangunan/Ekonomi dan Bisnis Dosen Pembimbing : Dr. Chenny Seftarita S.E., M.Si Konsentrasi : Ekonomi Internasional Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk melihat hubungan antara harga internasional dan nilai tukar terhadap nilai ekspor Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia ke Uni Eropa. Metode pada penelitian menggunakan model Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) dengan jenis data sekunder berbentuk runtun waktu (time series) dari tahun 2000-2019. Hasil dari penelitian menunjukkan bahwa baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang, harga internasional dan nilai tukar secara bersama-sama memiliki hubungan yang signifikan secara statistik terhadap nilai ekspor Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia ke Uni Eropa. Diharapkan pemerintah melalui lembaga terkait dapat mengevaluasi dan memperhatikan sektor-sektor lain yang berpotensi mendongkrak kinerja ekspor CPO Indonesia, serta ikut berkontribusi dalam mengawasi pergerakan harga CPO internasional yang berhubungan dengan fluktuasi nilai tukar rupiah terhadap Dolar AS. Kata Kunci : Harga Intenasional, Nilai Tukar, Nilai Ekspor, ARDL xiii ABSTRACT Title : Relationship of International Prices and Exchange Rates Against the Export Value of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) of Indonesia to the European Union Name : Muhammad Arief Miswari Student ID : 1601101010048 Department/Faculty : Economic Development/Economics and Business Academic Advisor : Dr. Chenny Seftarita S.E., M.Si Consentration : International Economy The purpose of this study is to look at the relationship between international prices and the exchange rate against the export value of Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (CPO) to the European Union. The research method uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model with secondary data types in the form of time series from 2000-2019. The results of the study show that both in the short and long term, international prices and exchange rates together have a statistically significant relationship to the value of Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (CPO) exports to the European Union. It is expected that the government through related institutions can evaluate and pay attention to other sectors that have the potential to boost the performance of Indonesia's CPO exports, as well as contribute to overseeing international CPO price movements associated with fluctuations in the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US Dollar. Keywords: International Price, Exchange Rate, Export Value, ARDL 0 ELECTRONIC THESES AND DISSERTATION Universitas Syiah Kuala 74106 2020-07-22 10:32:42 2020-07-22 11:43:00 machine generated