Electronic Theses and Dissertation

ABSTRAK
Judul
: Pengaruh Nilai Tukar, Foreign Direct Investment dan
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Ekspor Barang dan
Jasa Indonesia Ke Negara-Negara Mitra Dagang
Utama
Penulis


: Anggun Kaniya Lepi Sri
NPM

: 2201101010155
Fakultas/Jurusan : Ekonomi dan Bisnis/ Ekonomi Pembangunan
Pembimbing
: Pro. Dr. Taufiq C. Dawood, S.E., M.Ec. Dev dan
Sri Sukma Wahyuni, S.E., M.Si
Konsentrasi
: Ekonomi Internasional

Penelitian ini mengkaji pengaruh nilai tukar, Foreign Direct Investment
(FDI), dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap ekspor barang dan jasa Indonesia ke
negara-negara mitra dagang utamanya, yaitu China, India, Jepang, dan Amerika
Serikat. Penelitian ini menggunakan data panel tahunan untuk periode 1995-2024
yang diperoleh dari World Bank dan UN Comtrade. Metode regresi data panel
dengan Fixed Effect Model (FEM) digunakan berdasarkan hasil uji Chow dan
Hausman. Temuan penelitian menunjukkan bahwa nilai tukar berpengaruh negatif
dan signifikan terhadap ekspor Indonesia, sedangkan FDI berpengaruh positif dan
signifikan. Sebaliknya, pertumbuhan ekonomi negara mitra dagang berpengaruh
negatif namun tidak signifikan terhadap ekspor. Secara simultan, nilai tukar, FDI,
dan pertumbuhan ekonomi berpengaruh signifikan terhadap kinerja ekspor
Indonesia. Hasil ini mengindikasikan bahwa menjaga stabilitas nilai tukar dan
mendorong investasi asing merupakan hal penting untuk meningkatkan daya saing
ekspor Indonesia.

Kata kunci: nilai tukar, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), pertumbuhan ekonomi,
ekspor, regresi data panel.

ABSTRACT Title : The Influence of Exchange Rates, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth on Indonesia's Exports of Goods and Services to Major Trading Partners Author : Anggun Kaniya Lepi Sri NIM : 2201101010155 Faculty/Department : Economics and Business / Development Economics Supervisors : Prof. Taufiq C. Dawood, S.E., M.Ec. Dev. and Sri Sukma Wahyuni, S.E., M.Si. Concentration : International Economic This study examines the effects of the exchange rate, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and economic growth on Indonesia's exports of goods and services to its major trading partner countries, namely China, India, Japan, and the United States. The study uses annual panel data for the period 1995-2024 obtained from the World Bank, UN Comtrade. Panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) was employed based on the Chow and Hausman test results.The findings reveal that the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on Indonesia's exports, while FDI has a positive and significant effect. In contrast, the economic growth of trading partner countries has a negative but insignificant effect on exports. Simultaneously, the exchange rate, FDI, and economic growth significantly influence Indonesia's export performance. These results suggest that maintaining exchange rate stability and promoting foreign investment are essential to enhancing Indonesia's export competitiveness. Keywords: exchange rate, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), economic growth, exports, panel data regression.