ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN KEAKURATAN MODEL CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL DAN FAMA-FRENCH THREE FACTOR MODEL DALAM MENGESTIMASI RETURN SAHAM INDEKS LQ45 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA | ELECTRONIC THESES AND DISSERTATION

Electronic Theses and Dissertation

Universitas Syiah Kuala

    SKRIPSI

ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN KEAKURATAN MODEL CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL DAN FAMA-FRENCH THREE FACTOR MODEL DALAM MENGESTIMASI RETURN SAHAM INDEKS LQ45 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA


Pengarang

Dimas Hermawan - Personal Name;

Dosen Pembimbing

Fathurrahman Anwar - 198107192015041002 - Dosen Pembimbing I



Nomor Pokok Mahasiswa

2001102010025

Fakultas & Prodi

Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis / Manajemen (S1) / PDDIKTI : 61201

Subject
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Kata Kunci
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Penerbit

Banda Aceh : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis (S1)., 2024

Bahasa

No Classification

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Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui kinerja dan keakuratan dua model asset pricing dalam mengestimasi return saham. Adapun dua model tersebut yaitu Capital Asset pricing Model dan Fama-French Three Factor Model. Sampel dalam penelitian ini dipilih dengan metode purposive sampling sehingga terpilih 23 perusahaan yang tergabung ke dalam Indeks LQ45. Pengolahan data dilakukan dengan bantuan program microsoft excel dan eviews12. Teknik analisis data dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis regresi linear sederhana dan analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan, Fama-French Three Factor Model lebih baik dalam mengestimasi return saham dibandingkan Capital Asset pricing Model berdasarkan nilai koefesien determinasi (R2) masing-masing model. Sementara itu, berdasarkan nilai Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) masing-masing model, Capital Asset pricing Model dan Fama-French Three Factor Model memiliki nilai MAD yang relatif sama, sehingga kedua model sama akurat dalam mengestimasi return saham.

This research aims to determine the performance and accuracy of two asset pricing models in estimating stock returns. The two models in question are the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Fama-French Three Factor Model. The sample in this study was selected using purposive sampling, resulting in the selection of 23 companies that are part of the LQ45 Index. Data processing is carried out with the help of Microsoft Excel and EViews 12. The data analysis techniques in this study are simple linear regression analysis and multiple linear regression analysis. The research results indicate that the Fama-French Three Factor Model is superior in estimating stock returns compared to the Capital Asset Pricing Model based on the coefficient of determination (R2) of each model. Meanwhile, based on the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) values of each model, both the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Fama-French Three Factor Model have relatively similar MAD values, suggesting that both models are equally accurate in estimating stock returns.

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