Electronic Theses and Dissertation

Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengevaluasi tingkat daya saing ekspor produk minyak atsiri nilam Indonesia serta dampak hubungan pendapatan jangka panjang dan pendek negara tujuan ekspor, harga produk ekspor, nilai tukar, inflasi, dan Bi Rate. suku bunga atas jumlah minyak nilam yang diekspor dari Indonesia. Model analisis regresi Panel Autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) digunakan dalam penelitian ini untuk melihat dan menganalisis pengaruh jangka panjang dan pendek dari masing-masing variabel terhadap volume ekspor minyak atsiri nilam Indonesia. Model formula Revealed Comparative Adventage (RCA) digunakan untuk mengukur tingkat daya saing ekspor minyak atsiri nilam Indonesia ke Amerika dan Perancis dengan data dari tahun 2015 sampai tahun 2021 dalam interval bulanan dengan tiga negara tujuan ekspor Amerika, Prancis dan Singapura. Temuan penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa minyak atsiri nilam Indonesia sangat kompetitif di pasar global berdasarkan nilai rata-rata Revealed Comparative Adventage (RCA) tahunannya. Menurut temuan penelitian mengenai pengaruh jangka panjang dan jangka pendek, variabel harga ekspor, nilai tukar, dan inflasi berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap volume ekspor, sedangkan PDB negara tujuan dan suku bunga berpengaruh positif signifikan. dampak. Volume ekspor minyak nilam Indonesia jangka pendek secara signifikan dipengaruhi oleh variabel harga ekspor, nilai tukar, dan inflasi. Sementara itu, suku bunga secara signifikan mengurangi jumlah minyak atsiri nilam yang diekspor dari Indonesia. Pemerintah diharapkan memberikan perhatian lebih kepada para petani yang memberikan masukan terhadap devisa negara.
Kata Kunci : Perdagangan Internasional, Ekspor, Revealed Comparative
Adventage (RCA), Panel Autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL).

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the level of competitiveness of Indonesian patchouli essential oil exports as well as the impact of the long- and short-term relationships between export volume, export destination country income, export prices, exchange rates, inflation, and interest rates Bi Rate. The Panel Autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) regression analysis model is used in this study to see and analyze the long- and short-term effects of each variable on the volume of Indonesia's patchouli essential oil exports, with data from 2015 to 2021 in monthly intervals and three export destinations. The Revealed Comparative Adventage (RCA) formula model is used to measure the level of competitiveness of Indonesian patchouli essential oil exports to America, France, and Singapura. The findings of this study show that Indonesian patchouli essential oil has strong competitiveness in the global market, as measured by the Revealed Comparative Adventage (RCA) value on an annual average. According to the findings of the study on both the long-term and short-term effects, the variables export prices, exchange rates, and inflation have a significant negative impact on export volume, while the GDP of the destination nation and interest rates have a significant positive impact. The short-term export volume of Indonesia's patchouli essential oil is significantly influenced favorably by the variables of export prices, exchange rates, and inflation. In the meantime, the interest rate significantly reduces the amount of patchouli essential oil exported from Indonesia. Farmers are expected to receive more attention from the government as they contribute to the nation's foreign exchange. Keywords : International trade, Export, Revealed Comparative Adventage (RCA), Panel Autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL).