Electronic Theses and Dissertation

ABSTRAK
PENGARUH EKSPOR, IMPOR, DAN NILAI TUKAR PETANI
TERHADAP NILAI TAMBAH SEKTOR PERTANIAN
DI PROVINSI ACEH
Oleh : Elfira
NPM : 1901201010014
Pembimbing 1 : Dr. Vivi Silvia, S.E., M.Si
Pembimbing 2 : Dr. Muhammad Nasir, S.E., M.Si., M.A
Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mempelajari dan menganalisis pengaruh antara
ekspor, impor, dan nilai tukar petani terhadap nilai tambah sektor pertanian di
Provinsi Aceh. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder yang berasal dari Badan
Pusat Statistik (BPS) Provinsi Aceh. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series
triwulanan dari tahun 2007 hingga tahun 2021 sebanyak 60 series data. Model
analisis yang digunakan adalah model regresi linier berganda dengan metode
Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terdapat
pengaruh positif signifikan antara nilai ekspor dan nilai tukar petani terhadap nilai
tambah sektor pertanian di Provinsi Aceh. Sementara itu, variabel impor tidak
berpengaruh terhadap nilai tambah sektor pertanian di Provinsi Aceh pada
penelitian ini. Secara bersama-sama, variabel ekspor, impor, dan nilai tukar petani
berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai tambah sektor pertanian dalam model model
yang dipilih. Pemerintah hendaknya terus melakukan berbagai kebijakan terkait
peningkatan kesejahteraan petani, seperti menjaga stabilitas harga komoditi
pertanian dan program peningkatan kualitas maupun kuantitas dari output pertanian
sehingga NTP petani meningkat yang juga akan meningkatkan nilai tambah
pertanian. Ekspansi pasar pertanian dengan meningkatkan ekspor juga terbukti
mampu meningkatkan nilai tambah bruto sektor pertanian.
Kata kunci : Regresi linier berganda, ekspor, impor, nilai tukar petani, nilai
tambah pertanian.

ABSTRACT THE EFFECT OF EXPORT, IMPORT, AND FARMER'S EXCHANGE RATE ON VALUE ADDED OF THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR IN ACEH PROVINCE By : Elfira NPM : 1901201010014 Supervisor 1 : Dr. Vivi Silvia, S.E., M.Si Supervisor 2 : Dr. Muhammad Nasir, S.E., M.Si., M.A This research was conducted to study and analyze the effect of exports, imports, and the exchange rate of farmers on the value added of the agricultural sector in Aceh Province. This study uses secondary data from the Central Bureau Statistics of Aceh Province. This study uses quarterly time series data from 2007 to 2021 as many as 60 data series. The analytical model used is a multiple linear regression model with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results showed that there was a significant positive effect between the export value and the farmer's exchange rate on the value added of the agricultural sector in Aceh Province. Meanwhile, the import variable has no effect on the value added of the agricultural sector in Aceh Province in this study. Taken together, the variables of exports, imports, and farmers' exchange rates have a significant effect on the value added of the agricultural sector in the selected models. The government should continue to carry out various policies related to improving the welfare of farmers, such as maintaining price stability of agricultural commodities and programs to increase the quality and quantity of agricultural output so that farmer's exchange rate increases which will also increase the value added of agriculture. The expansion of the agricultural market by increasing exports has also proven to be able to increase the gross value added of the agricultural sector. Keywords: Multiple linear regression, export, import, farmer's exchange rate, agricultural value added.