Electronic Theses and Dissertation

Abstrak judul : pengaruh inflasi, nilai tukar dan pdb negara mitra terhadap daya saing ekspor minyak sawit indonesia di pasar internasional penulis : julian as’ari nim : 2201101010115 fakultas/jurusan : ekonomi dan bisnis/ekonomi pembangunan pembimbing : prof. dr. taufiq c. dawood, s.e., m.ec.dev dan talbani farlian, s.e., m.a konsentrasi : ekonomi internasional penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh inflasi, nilai tukar, dan produk domestik bruto (pdb) negara mitra terhadap daya saing indonesia di pasar internasional selama periode 1995–2024 dengan menggunakan metode autoregressive distributed lag (ardl). penelitian ini menggunakan indikator revealed comparative advantage (rca) untuk mengukur daya saing ekspor minyak sawit indonesia di pasar internasional. hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek inflasi berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap daya saing ekspor minyak sawit indonesia di pasar internasional, sedangkan nilai tukar dan pdb negara mitra berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap daya saing ekspor minyak sawit indonesia di pasar internasional. dalam jangka panjang inflasi tetap berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap daya saing ekspor minyak sawit indonesia di pasar internasional tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap daya saing ekspor minyak sawit indonesia di pasar internasional, nilai tukar dan pdb negara mitra berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap daya saing ekspor minyak sawit indonesia di pasar internasional. pemerintah disarankan untuk menjaga stabilitas inflasi dan nilai tukar guna mempertahankan daya saing ekspor indonesia, serta memperkuat hubungan perdagangan dengan negara mitra utama agar peluang ekspor indonesia semakin meningkat. kata kunci: daya ekspor inyak sawit indonesia, inflasi, nilai tukar, pdb negara mitra, revealed comparative advantage, autoregressive distributed lag.

ABSTRACT Title : The Effect of Inflation, Exchange Rates, and GDP of Partner Countries on Indonesia's Plam Oil Exports Competitiveness in The International Market Author : Julian As'ari NIM : 2201101010115 Faculty/Department : Economics and Business/Development Economics Supervisors : Prof. Dr. Taufiq C. Dawood, S.E., M.Ec.Dev and Talbani Farlian, S.E., M.A Concentration : International Economics This study aims to analyze the impact of inflation, exchange rates, and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of partner countries on Indonesia's competitiveness in the international market during the 1995–2024 period, utilizing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. The study employs the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) indicator to measure the competitiveness of Indonesian palm oil exports in the international market. The results indicate that, in the short term, inflation has a significant negative impact on the competitiveness of Indonesian palm oil exports, whereas exchange rates and the GDP of partner countries have a significant positive impact. In the long term, inflation continues to exert a significant negative impact on competitiveness, while exchange rates and the GDP of partner countries maintain a significant positive impact. It is recommended that the government maintain inflation and exchange rate stability to preserve the competitiveness of Indonesian exports and strengthen trade relations with key partner countries to further enhance export opportunities.partners to expand Indonesia’s export opportunities in the international market. Keywords: Indonesian Palm Oil Export Performance, Inflation, Exchange Rate, Partner Country GDP, Revealed Comparative Advantage, Autoregressive Distributed Lag.